The Resource Scenario thinking : a historical evolution of strategic foresight, R. Bradley MacKay (University of St Andrews Scotland), Peter McKiernan (University of Strathclyde Scotland)

Scenario thinking : a historical evolution of strategic foresight, R. Bradley MacKay (University of St Andrews Scotland), Peter McKiernan (University of Strathclyde Scotland)

Label
Scenario thinking : a historical evolution of strategic foresight
Title
Scenario thinking
Title remainder
a historical evolution of strategic foresight
Statement of responsibility
R. Bradley MacKay (University of St Andrews Scotland), Peter McKiernan (University of Strathclyde Scotland)
Creator
Contributor
Author
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
This Element infuses established scenario planning routines with an exploration of cognitive reasoning, by contextualising scenario thinking within the wider human endeavour of grappling with future uncertainties. A study of ancient civilisations shows that scenario thinking is not new, but has evolved significantly since ancient times. By de-coupling scenario thinking from scenario planning, it is elevated as the essential ingredient in managerial foresight projects. The historical theme continues, focussing on the evolution of modern scenario planning, by way of the French and Anglo-American schools of thought, using the intuitive logics methodology. Archival research has discovered early contributions in the UK around the development and use of scenario thinking in public policy, which has been overlooked in many received histories. Finally, the usefulness of scenario thinking for strategic management is challenged here and the argument that it is a heuristic device for overcoming cognitive biases and making better strategic decisions is refined
Member of
Cataloging source
YDX
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
MacKay, R. Bradley
Dewey number
658.4012
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
no index present
LC call number
HD 30.28 .M257 2018
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
McKiernan, Peter
Series statement
  • Elements in business strategy
  • Cambridge elements
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Strategic planning
  • Business planning
  • Strategic planning
Label
Scenario thinking : a historical evolution of strategic foresight, R. Bradley MacKay (University of St Andrews Scotland), Peter McKiernan (University of Strathclyde Scotland)
Instantiates
Publication
Copyright
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 66-83)
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Introduction -- Ancient civilizations and celestial science -- A brief history of modern scenario planning -- The intuitive logics process -- From scenario planning to scenario thinking -- Scenario thinking: the cognitive challenge -- Scenario thinking and managerial judgement -- Conclusion
Dimensions
23 cm.
Extent
83 pages
Isbn
9781108469005
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
n
Other physical details
illustration
System control number
  • (OCoLC)1034618818
  • (OCoLC)on1034618818
Label
Scenario thinking : a historical evolution of strategic foresight, R. Bradley MacKay (University of St Andrews Scotland), Peter McKiernan (University of Strathclyde Scotland)
Publication
Copyright
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 66-83)
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Introduction -- Ancient civilizations and celestial science -- A brief history of modern scenario planning -- The intuitive logics process -- From scenario planning to scenario thinking -- Scenario thinking: the cognitive challenge -- Scenario thinking and managerial judgement -- Conclusion
Dimensions
23 cm.
Extent
83 pages
Isbn
9781108469005
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
n
Other physical details
illustration
System control number
  • (OCoLC)1034618818
  • (OCoLC)on1034618818

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